Hartberg II vs Lafnitz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
5º
32
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
KIN
2 - 2
TSH
20%
20%
61%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
TSH
1 - 1
FCS
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ALL
4 - 1
TSH
61%
18%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TSH
1 - 4
ILZ
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
WEI
0 - 1
TSH
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
LAF
4 - 2
KIN
76%
14%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LAF
0 - 2
FCS
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LAF
1 - 1
ALL
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
LAF
1 - 3
GDF
24%
22%
55%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LAF
5 - 2
ADM
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |