Hartberg II vs Lafnitz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
81.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
10º
4º
48
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
TSH
1 - 3
KOF
23%
22%
54%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
SCB
4 - 0
TSH
66%
19%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
SVL
2 - 0
TSH
78%
14%
7%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
FEH
4 - 0
TSH
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
TSH
1 - 1
SVW
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
USV
1 - 5
LAF
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
VOI
1 - 1
LAF
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LAF
3 - 0
ILZ
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
GNA
4 - 1
LAF
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
LAF
1 - 4
MET
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |