Hartberg II vs Fehring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
10º
4º
44
1º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
UGA
3 - 1
TSH
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
FUR
3 - 5
TSH
64%
17%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 2
SVF
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
3 - 3
TSH
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
TSH
2 - 0
LEB
42%
21%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
FEH
1 - 3
SVF
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
1 - 0
FEH
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FEH
4 - 3
LEB
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SVT
1 - 2
FEH
28%
21%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FEH
1 - 1
KAL
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |