TSB Flensburg vs Heider SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HOL
2 - 0
FLE
46%
21%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 2
FLE
39%
23%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FLE
2 - 1
EUT
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
EIC
1 - 1
FLE
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FLE
2 - 1
KRO
66%
17%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 0
REH
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
KRO
3 - 2
HEI
53%
22%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 3
HEI
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 2
PRE
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 1
HOL
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |