Tsaramandroso vs Ajesaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+403%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
16º
15º
19
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 10 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tsaramandroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
COA
1 - 1
TFF
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SFJ
1 - 0
TFF
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TFF
3 - 1
USC
7%
14%
79%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FAN
2 - 0
TFF
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TFF
0 - 1
TIA
7%
13%
81%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajesaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
USC
0 - 1
AJE
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FAN
2 - 0
AJE
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
AJE
0 - 0
SFJ
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TIA
0 - 1
AJE
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AJE
0 - 0
COA
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |