Truro City vs Egham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
HUN
2 - 0
WHI
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 0
CAM
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
WHI
2 - 0
PAU
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BIG
3 - 2
WHI
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 4
CIR
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Egham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
UXB
1 - 3
EGH
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
EGH
0 - 2
AYL
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
EGH
2 - 1
BRI
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 3
EGH
52%
21%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
EGH
2 - 1
ROY
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |