Trujillo vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
TRU
63%
20%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
TRU
5 - 1
GAR
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 4
TRU
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TRU
0 - 3
CPC
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAS
5 - 1
TRU
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ORE
1 - 1
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
MAL
3 - 2
ORE
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ORE
1 - 0
CAC
36%
25%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAG
2 - 1
ORE
40%
24%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
ORE
1 - 0
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |