Trujillo vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
TRU
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TRU
2 - 2
MOR
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CPC
1 - 1
TRU
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
TRU
0 - 2
MIA
65%
19%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
AZU
1 - 3
TRU
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
ARR
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
EMD
3 - 1
CAL
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
JER
55%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 0
CAL
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |