Trujillanos vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 0
LAR
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TRU
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
TRU
3 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TRU
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
TRU
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
4 - 0
ZUL
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 1
CFC
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
5 - 1
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |