Truganina Hornets vs Essendon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truganina Hornets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
THO
2 - 1
CSC
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
EUF
0 - 3
THO
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Essendon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 3
EUF
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
EUF
0 - 1
AVH
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
EUF
3 - 1
CSC
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EUF
8 - 1
SUS
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
EUF
0 - 3
THO
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |