Troyes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 1
TRO
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
TRO
0 - 2
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
REI
5 - 1
TRO
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
TRO
1 - 0
ASS
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
TRO
1 - 1
GIR
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 1
NÎM
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
VAL
0 - 2
NAN
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
NIC
0 - 2
VAL
75%
16%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 0
LYO
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |