Troyes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
LHA
0 - 0
TRO
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
TRO
4 - 2
REI
67%
20%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 3
TRO
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 0
FCG
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 0
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 0
ASS
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIC
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 0
LEN
39%
29%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 2
NIC
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |