Troyes vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
TRO
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GAZ
2 - 3
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 2
ASS
24%
27%
48%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
TRO
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
GUI
4 - 0
TRO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
4 - 3
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 1
LOR
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 4
LOR
7%
15%
78%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
MPL
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PSG
3 - 1
LOR
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |