Ligue 1 Round 28

Troyes vs Lorient analysis

Troyes Lorient
68 ELO 79
0.2% Tilt 16.3%
760º General ELO ranking 233º
27º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
23.8%
Troyes
25.6%
Draw
50.6%
Lorient

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
Troyes
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.6%
Win probability
Lorient
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Troyes
+5%
+7%
Lorient

ELO progression

Troyes
Lorient
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Troyes
Troyes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2016
MON
Monaco
3 - 1
Troyes
TRO
65%
21%
13%
69 85 16 0
13 Feb. 2016
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
2 - 3
Troyes
TRO
48%
26%
26%
68 73 5 +1
10 Feb. 2016
TRO
Troyes
1 - 2
Saint-Étienne
ASS
24%
27%
48%
69 84 15 -1
06 Feb. 2016
BAS
Bastia
2 - 0
Troyes
TRO
56%
24%
20%
69 78 9 0
03 Feb. 2016
GUI
Guingamp
4 - 0
Troyes
TRO
55%
24%
21%
70 77 7 -1

Matches

Lorient
Lorient
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2016
LOR
Lorient
4 - 3
Guingamp
GUI
52%
26%
22%
79 77 2 0
13 Feb. 2016
NAN
Nantes
2 - 1
Lorient
LOR
40%
27%
34%
79 80 1 0
10 Feb. 2016
SAR
Sarre-Union
0 - 4
Lorient
LOR
7%
15%
78%
79 44 35 0
06 Feb. 2016
LOR
Lorient
1 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
45%
27%
28%
79 80 1 0
03 Feb. 2016
PSG
PSG
3 - 1
Lorient
LOR
78%
14%
8%
80 91 11 -1