Troyes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
MPL
2 - 2
TRO
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TRO
1 - 2
PSG
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
STR
2 - 1
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
TRO
1 - 1
LYO
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
NIC
1 - 0
TRO
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
GUI
0 - 1
SED
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GUI
3 - 1
MPL
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
PSG
5 - 0
GUI
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
GUI
2 - 3
STR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
LIL
2 - 1
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |