Troyes U19 vs Besancon RC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+230%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
13º
2º
15
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 1
TRO
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 3
AUX
34%
27%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 1
TRO
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
DIJ
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Besancon RC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BES
2 - 2
CLE
11%
15%
73%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
BES
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BES
1 - 2
STR
10%
15%
75%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BOB
1 - 1
BES
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
OLY
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | +2 |