Troyes II vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
11º
3º
32
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
REI
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 3
STR
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 2
TRO
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 1
THA
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
MET
40%
23%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MET
4 - 2
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MEZ
4 - 0
MET
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MET
3 - 4
THA
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
MET
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |