Tropezón vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
SIE
1 - 1
TRO
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
TRO
0 - 0
ALB
66%
22%
12%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
RIB
2 - 3
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 0
GIM
18%
27%
55%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
LAR
2 - 2
TRO
35%
27%
39%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
CAS
3 - 1
TRA
67%
19%
15%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
BEZ
2 - 1
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CAS
2 - 2
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAS
18%
25%
58%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESC
41%
26%
33%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |