Tromso II vs Lorenskog IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
62.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
14º
12º
55
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
TRO
40%
20%
39%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 2
KFU
61%
18%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
8 - 0
TRO
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
5 - 0
HIS
92%
6%
2%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
5 - 0
TRO
72%
15%
13%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lorenskog IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
KFU
3 - 2
LOR
15%
17%
68%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
5 - 0
ASK
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
LOR
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
SAR
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HIS
0 - 5
LOR
5%
10%
85%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | +1 |