Trogen vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 1
TRO
67%
19%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
AUB
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AHA
4 - 0
TRO
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 3
AMM
27%
23%
49%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 1
TRO
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 0
KLE
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
SEL
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SEL
0 - 3
SAN
35%
24%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ERB
5 - 3
SEL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 2
WUR
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |