Trofense vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GFC
4 - 1
TRO
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TRO
4 - 3
VIL
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
TRO
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 0
MIR
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 1
TRO
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
FEL
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 2
MER
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PED
1 - 2
MER
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
TAI
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIZ
2 - 0
MER
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |