Trofense vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
TRO
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 3
BMA
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 0
ORI
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 0
TRO
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 0
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
FAR
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAR
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 1
SCF
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 3
BEN
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -2 |