Trofense vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
TRO
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 3
SPC
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SPC
2 - 1
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 0
TRO
90%
8%
2%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 1
TRO
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 2
MAF
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 1
PEN
22%
20%
58%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ESA
2 - 1
VIZ
11%
15%
75%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 0
SPB
7%
14%
79%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
ESA
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |