Trofense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.2%
76.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 3
NAC
15%
23%
63%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PEV
1 - 3
TRO
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAF
0 - 0
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 0
CAS
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 1
PEN
13%
23%
64%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 1
BOA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
DYN
0 - 0
SLB
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |