Trives vs Leiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AMO
0 - 1
TRI
47%
23%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 1
CEA
55%
22%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
TRI
1 - 1
PON
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRI
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TOE
1 - 1
TRI
43%
21%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LEI
3 - 0
PON
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 3
LEI
20%
21%
60%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LEI
5 - 0
TOE
72%
16%
13%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BMI
2 - 2
LEI
22%
22%
55%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 5
LEI
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |