Tritium vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
FCS
23%
27%
50%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAR
21%
28%
52%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
USC
5 - 0
TRI
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
TRE
47%
27%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
COM
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACL
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
USC
1 - 1
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 0
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
ACD
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |