Tritium vs Castellanzese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
NIB
1 - 1
TRI
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAL
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
VBE
0 - 1
TRI
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
ARC
75%
15%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
CAL
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VBE
1 - 4
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 2
ARC
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAS
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIL
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |