Tritium vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RIM
4 - 0
TRI
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
FAN
20%
21%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 0
TRI
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
TRI
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 3
FAN
23%
22%
56%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 3
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ACP
0 - 2
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALC
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
FOR
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |