Tristán Suárez vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 2
SUA
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SUA
2 - 1
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
VSC
1 - 0
SUA
44%
29%
28%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SUA
2 - 0
STM
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
SUA
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
SAR
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SAR
2 - 0
STM
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAR
64%
23%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SAR
2 - 0
BRO
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
SAR
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |