Tristán Suárez vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BRO
1 - 1
SUA
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
SUA
0 - 2
CCO
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SAR
2 - 1
SUA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SUA
0 - 0
PLA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
ITA
0 - 1
SUA
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SMG
0 - 3
ARM
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
CAM
0 - 0
SMG
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SMG
0 - 1
TIG
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
EST
0 - 0
SMG
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
SMG
2 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |