Tristán Suárez vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 2
SUA
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 2
IRV
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 1
SUA
59%
23%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 2
INS
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 0
SUA
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
GBR
3 - 1
FER
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
GBR
48%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 2
CAG
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 2
GBR
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 0
RSA
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |