Tristán Suárez vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
SUA
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 0
AND
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 1
SUA
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
SUA
0 - 0
GIM
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SUA
1 - 1
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
TEM
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
MER
70%
21%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
GLP
22%
29%
48%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ALD
4 - 1
MER
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MER
2 - 1
GIM
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |