Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2012 |
TEM
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
SUA
2 - 1
ALM
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 2
SUA
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
SUA
2 - 2
COL
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
SUA
58%
25%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
CHI
24%
28%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
DEF
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
COM
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
STM
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |