Tripoli vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
2º
9
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
0 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 2
TAD
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
SAL
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 2
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
NAB
0 - 0
TRI
34%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al Akhaa Al Ahli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALA
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
HIK
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TAD
2 - 0
ALA
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 1
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALA
44%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |