Tripoli vs Al Ahed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
RAC
0 - 1
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 3
SAL
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SHA
0 - 1
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 0
ALN
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAF
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
ALQ
0 - 1
ALA
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALN
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALA
12%
18%
71%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 3
ALA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 6
ALA
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |