Trindade vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GOI
2 - 0
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
APA
0 - 1
TRI
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAN
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 4
CRA
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
TRI
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
APA
2 - 2
CRA
34%
24%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
APA
0 - 1
TRI
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
APA
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 2
APA
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
APA
1 - 0
MOR
49%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |