Treze vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 1
TRE
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
TRE
81%
15%
5%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
CEA
9%
21%
70%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
BOT
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 0
CAM
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 1
TRE
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
POM
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 12 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 0
SPC
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
PET
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |