Treze vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRE
21%
24%
54%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAM
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 3
TRE
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
TRE
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
FLA
76%
16%
9%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 3
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
ECP
2 - 2
SOU
38%
24%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
AUT
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |