Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 6-5
Treze vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1990 |
NAU
2 - 0
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
TRE
0 - 1
NAU
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1987 |
NAU
2 - 1
TRE
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
SPO
2 - 1
TRE
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
TRE
2 - 1
CSA
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1997 |
SAN
0 - 1
CEA
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1997 |
CEA
3 - 2
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 1
CRZ
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
SAN
6 - 1
OPE
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |