Treze vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 3
TRE
12%
19%
69%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 0
AUT
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 0
SOU
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TRE
1 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TRE
3 - 0
SAL
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSP
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
CSP
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
CSP
2 - 1
MIR
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 1
CSP
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CSP
1 - 0
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |