Treviso vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 3
ARZ
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 2
TRE
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOL
33%
29%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 1
TRE
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 1
CES
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
LEC
4 - 1
PES
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 3
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 1
SPE
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |