Trenčín vs Zlaté Moravce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
6º
4º
12
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
27 | 17 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ZEM
0 - 0
TRE
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FKD
4 - 2
TRE
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 3
SKA
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 0
TRE
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 0
TRE
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zlaté Moravce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
4 - 1
ZMO
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ZMO
1 - 2
FKK
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FKD
0 - 0
ZMO
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ZMO
0 - 2
ZEM
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ZEM
4 - 1
ZMO
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |