Q. Europa League Primera Ronda. Final
Global 1-9
Tre Penne vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
RAD
6 - 0
TPE
65%
20%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 0
TPE
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TPE
0 - 1
LIB
69%
19%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TPE
3 - 1
FOL
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 3
TPE
35%
26%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
RAD
6 - 0
TPE
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
RAD
0 - 0
JAV
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
BSK
0 - 1
RAD
31%
31%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
RAD
2 - 4
JAG
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CRV
2 - 1
RAD
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |