Tre Fiori vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
DOM
1 - 4
TFI
21%
21%
58%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 3
TPE
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
TFI
4 - 0
JUV
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
TFI
4 - 1
DOM
46%
22%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 2
TFI
21%
22%
57%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAI
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
3 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CAI
3 - 0
VIR
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SGI
1 - 3
VIR
44%
22%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
VIR
1 - 2
CAI
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |