Travnik vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Travnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SLA
3 - 0
TRA
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 2
VEL
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GOS
3 - 1
TRA
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 0
SLO
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BBL
1 - 0
TRA
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 1
RUD
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SIR
3 - 1
SAR
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
LEO
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
KOZ
1 - 3
SAR
17%
26%
57%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ČEL
1 - 1
SAR
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |