Trastevere vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 2
TRA
13%
23%
63%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UST
2 - 1
TRA
12%
22%
67%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
PIN
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
TNF
0 - 3
TRA
27%
26%
46%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
FAN
26%
29%
45%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 0
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CYN
0 - 1
FAN
51%
27%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FAN
3 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SSS
1 - 2
FAN
46%
29%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |