Trastevere vs Aurora Alto Casertano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REC
2 - 1
TRA
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 0
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 0
TRA
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 0
UST
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 2
SSS
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora Alto Casertano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 3
SFF
7%
14%
79%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
AAC
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 2
REC
8%
16%
76%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 4
PIN
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UST
1 - 0
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |