Lowland Football League Scotland Round 17

Tranent Juniors FC vs Gala Fairydean Rovers analysis

Tranent Juniors FC Gala Fairydean Rovers
49 ELO 29
6.7% Tilt 11.6%
4307º General ELO ranking 7384º
51º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
82.8%
Tranent Juniors FC
11.8%
Draw
5.4%
Gala Fairydean Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
Tranent Juniors FC
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.4%
Win probability
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tranent Juniors FC
+5%
+28%
Gala Fairydean Rovers

Points and table prediction

Tranent Juniors FC
Their league position
Gala Fairydean Rovers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
32
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
81
81
100%
Hearts II
69
69
100%
Bo'ness United
67
67
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
65
65
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
60
60
100%
Celtic II
59
59
100%
Civil Service Strollers
56
56
100%
Linlithgow Rose
50
50
100%
Albion Rovers
46
49
20%
Stirling University
11º
46
49
10º
20.5%
Cowdenbeath
10º
46
46
11º
70.5%
Caledonian Braves
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Berwick Rangers
13º
42
42
13º
100%
East Stirlingshire
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Broomhill FC
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
12
12
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tranent Juniors FC
Gala Fairydean Rovers
100% 100%

ELO progression

Tranent Juniors FC
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tranent Juniors FC
Tranent Juniors FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2023
CBF
Caledonian Braves
2 - 2
Tranent Juniors FC
TRA
12%
19%
69%
49 33 16 0
04 Nov. 2023
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 2
Tranent Juniors FC
TRA
20%
22%
59%
49 40 9 0
28 Oct. 2023
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
7 - 0
East Kilbride
EAS
23%
20%
57%
46 51 5 +3
18 Oct. 2023
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
1 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
77%
15%
8%
46 35 11 0
30 Sep. 2023
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 3
Tranent Juniors FC
TRA
47%
24%
29%
45 47 2 +1

Matches

Gala Fairydean Rovers
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2023
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
17%
19%
64%
28 46 18 0
04 Nov. 2023
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 - 2
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
28%
21%
50%
29 38 9 -1
28 Oct. 2023
POL
Pollok FC
5 - 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
GAL
35%
21%
44%
30 28 2 -1
21 Oct. 2023
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 - 4
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
29%
22%
49%
32 42 10 -2
18 Oct. 2023
AFC
AFC Edinburgh University
0 - 5
Gala Fairydean Rovers
GAL
6%
12%
83%
32 7 25 0