Trairiense vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trairiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 1
TRA
30%
24%
47%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAC
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 2
TRA
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
4 - 2
ARS
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
IGU
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
CRA
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
ITA
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |