Non League Div One Northern North Round 15

Trafford vs Garforth Town analysis

Trafford Garforth Town
33 ELO 35
11% Tilt 4.1%
9648º General ELO ranking 8863º
459º Country ELO ranking 378º
ELO win probability
54.7%
Trafford
21.9%
Draw
23.4%
Garforth Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
Trafford
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.4%
Win probability
Garforth Town
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Trafford
+39%
+8%
Garforth Town

ELO progression

Trafford
Garforth Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Trafford
Trafford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2008
WAR
Warrington Town
2 - 2
Trafford
TRA
51%
24%
25%
34 37 3 0
08 Nov. 2008
TRA
Trafford
3 - 1
Mossley
MOS
47%
23%
30%
33 33 0 +1
01 Nov. 2008
WAK
Wakefield AFC
0 - 1
Trafford
TRA
49%
24%
27%
32 35 3 +1
25 Oct. 2008
SAL
Salford City
2 - 6
Trafford
TRA
55%
22%
22%
30 34 4 +2
18 Oct. 2008
WHI
Whitby Town
3 - 2
Trafford
TRA
70%
17%
14%
31 40 9 -1

Matches

Garforth Town
Garforth Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2008
GAR
Garforth Town
1 - 1
Warrington Town
WAR
40%
23%
37%
33 37 4 0
11 Nov. 2008
DUR
Durham City
5 - 2
Garforth Town
GAR
60%
21%
19%
34 40 6 -1
08 Nov. 2008
ROU
Rossendale United
2 - 2
Garforth Town
GAR
45%
24%
31%
34 31 3 0
01 Nov. 2008
GAR
Garforth Town
3 - 4
Bamber Bridge
BAM
39%
23%
38%
35 39 4 -1
25 Oct. 2008
GAR
Garforth Town
3 - 1
Lancaster City
LAN
42%
24%
35%
33 37 4 +2