Trafford vs Durham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WOS
0 - 2
TRA
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 0
SKE
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
WIT
0 - 3
TRA
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
TRA
2 - 2
CUR
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 1
BAM
37%
25%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Durham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DUR
1 - 3
PRE
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DUR
4 - 5
GAR
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WAR
0 - 0
DUR
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
DUR
1 - 1
OSS
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 0
CLI
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |